Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 879.956857 998.310527 1131.190023 1292.300673 1483.514512 1704.647590 1981.823373
2025-04-13 678.872914 825.592315 1005.773682 1246.591265 1565.060549 1979.140894 2570.759868
2025-04-20 603.188663 766.996606 980.286146 1284.728368 1718.996738 2333.931027 3304.871268
2025-04-27 540.252326 711.094913 943.980698 1294.413340 1826.481388 2636.601838 4033.802932
2025-05-04 498.431288 675.855427 927.560692 1324.495202 1962.350879 3001.640282 4953.853992
2025-05-11 463.126845 644.283614 910.356421 1347.725895 2087.526364 3371.028266 5987.428018
2025-05-18 441.235351 629.032560 914.226296 1402.459285 2271.650150 3879.648816 7453.589281
2025-05-25 412.541309 599.950880 892.455591 1410.416575 2373.385064 4256.851495 8780.000548
2025-06-01 383.080888 566.542004 859.617291 1393.887433 2425.492411 4545.774091 10012.278325
2025-06-08 357.947450 537.597373 830.809504 1380.027267 2479.188301 4848.993345 11404.446865
2025-06-15 342.765317 523.385437 825.088876 1407.196200 2619.343001 5377.736961 13659.119594
2025-06-22 318.268614 491.580548 785.780388 1365.348206 2606.794213 5544.592808 14919.380886
2025-06-29 295.073150 461.297606 748.327010 1326.487957 2603.321836 5757.460126 16537.999201
2025-07-06 272.850057 431.232681 708.985065 1279.943892 2576.945291 5912.657981 18093.295907
2025-07-13 264.472885 424.554593 711.590168 1319.269332 2758.074977 6688.581844 22586.630571
2025-07-20 253.119498 411.604430 701.079229 1329.301825 2870.303601 7307.404231 26996.048001
2025-07-27 245.199680 404.195672 700.359613 1360.411955 3042.981744 8179.184055 33540.249689
2025-08-03 237.086739 395.761060 696.748218 1384.443505 3202.659710 9076.514793 41387.735727
2025-08-10 232.843960 394.206059 706.645785 1441.077336 3466.799614 10466.133422 54498.944562
2025-08-17 224.159995 383.512151 696.836269 1449.312618 3593.159710 11401.114587 66239.098366
2025-08-24 213.832946 368.935847 677.695186 1432.206514 3639.683702 12040.423138 76956.187389
2025-08-31 204.524173 355.765169 660.474539 1417.863965 3692.695738 12740.599571 89982.441493
2025-09-07 199.390470 350.526072 659.824296 1445.979689 3890.959013 14214.760514 115709.949408